Covid-19 ko khatam hony main 2 saal tak lag skty; World Economic forum ki report

Bura wakt hay sab ko pta hay, lekin is buray wakt main ek aur buri khabar k is manhoos virus say chuktkara hasil krnay main 2 saal tak lag sktay hain. Spanish flu k model ko use krtay hua btaya gya hain k covid-19 ko 18 say 24 months lagain gay, lekin 2 aur model say 2 aur scenarios nikalay gai hain. ye bhi kaha gya hay k pandemic jab tk khatam nai hoga jab 60 say 70 percent population is say immune na hojai, matlab us pr asar andaz na ho. Aur model main ye bhi kaha gya hay k sal winter main ek second wave ai gi jo bht khatarnak hosakti hay aur logo ka bht jani aur maali nuksan hoga. yani 2022 tk pandemic rehnay k chances hain, aur ye virus jab tk khatam nai hoga jab tak ye 70 percent logo ko infect na krdy, ye bat Michael Osterholm nay jo k director of CIDRAP hain CNN say bat krtay huay btai.

spanish flu k model k use krtay huay ye information nikali gai hay, jab 500 million loug flu ki wjhsay infect huay thay, jab b log asymptomatic behaviour show krtay thay, yani unko ehsas nai hota tha k wo virus ka shikar hain aur unko koi symptoms nazar nahi atay thay. Aj b yhi sab hua hay, covid-19 isi liay phela china main kiun loug aysmptomatic thay, asar nazar nai arai thy aur log virus ko aam flu wghera smjh k phela rhy thy.

In 3 scenarios main, sab say pehlay model ka naam peaks and valleys hay, time period sab ka aik hay jan, 2020 say lekar jan, 2022 tak. Scientists nay ye b kaha hay, k koi b esi parfect prediction nahi k iska end kia hoga, abhi kuch bhi kaha nai jaskta. Summer main repetitive cases aur virus k asar dubara namudar hoskty hain, ye scenario one hay. Scenario 2 main larger infections aur cases is winter main aingay, aur scenario 3 main, dunya ek slow burn experieince krygi, ye b kaha gya hay k agar vaccine ajati hay time par tou ye sab scenario change hoskty hain, wrna ye lockdown wala silsila jari reh sakta hay. Baray afsos say kehna par rha hay k dunya k sab loug mushkil main hain, lekin Topibaaz ko pta hay k insan ki taqat uska dimagh hay, aur insan say hamesha mushkil ka samna kr k uska sahi hal nikala hay, is wakt b Topibaaz insaan say kuch aisa hi expect krha hay.